Oscars 2019: ‘Green Book’ is the one to beat for Best Picture

Oscars 2019: ‘Green Book’ is the one to beat for Best Picture

Ultimate ballots for the 91st Academy Awards have been turned in Tuesday after two months of controversies, upsets and aggressive campaigning. And whereas it’s secure to say that “Black Panther,” “BlacKkKlansman” and “Vice” received’t be taking dwelling the Best Picture Oscar on Sunday night time, the race is extra broad open than it was the day after January’s Golden Globes.

Right here’s the place the different nominees stand.

“Inexperienced Guide” (approach up)

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The film about black pianist Don Shirley and Italian-American chauffeur Tony Lip’s journey by way of the Jim Crow South racked up quite a lot of nasty headlines. Shirley’s household denounced the movie as “a symphony of lies,” and Nick Vallelonga (Lip’s son) was discovered to have tweeted in assist of President Trump’s debunked declare that New Jersey Muslims celebrated on Sept. 11. Effectively, no one cares. The Producers Guild nonetheless named it greatest theatrical movement image, and one “Inexperienced Guide”-loving Oscar voter advised the Every day Beast that the film is the sufferer of an “apparent smear marketing campaign.” Momentum and field workplace grosses have constructed steadily, and its probabilities of successful Best Picture are robust.

“A Star Is Born” (down)

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Might “A Star Is Born” pull an upset? Presumably, Little Monsters. However the bulk of the large awards to this point have been evenly unfold round “Inexperienced Guide,” “Roma” and “Bohemian Rhapsody.” Expectations for Oscar wins for “A Star Is Born” and its stars — Woman Gaga and main man/director Bradley Cooper — have just about floor to a halt.

“Roma” (up)

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Alfonso Cuarón’s heartfelt ode to his Mexico Metropolis childhood was the apparent front-runner for weeks, but it surely appears to have suffered from voter fatigue. It did handle to win the BAFTA for greatest movie in the UK, however the BAFTAs haven’t precisely picked the Oscar winner since 2013’s “12 Years a Slave.” There’s additionally been a revolt towards nominating any movie that’s streaming on Netflix. Although “Roma” is closely favored to win Best Director, which frequently pairs with Best Picture, this small, artsy movie is now not the juggernaut it was.

“Bohemian Rhapsody” (center)

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Since its shocker win at the Golden Globes, accolades for the Freddie Mercury biopic have quieted. It failed to take dwelling even greatest British movie at the BAFTAs in the UK, the place Mercury is idolized. However the movie hasn’t completely bitten the mud: Count on to see star Rami Malek win Best Actor.

“The Favorite” (approach down)

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Director Yorgos Lanthimos’ courtly comedy ties with “Roma” for the most nominations — 10 — but it surely doesn’t have that movie’s probabilities for Best Picture. Whereas it managed to win excellent British movie at the BAFTAs, most awards teams have honored Olivia Colman and Rachel Weisz’s performances greater than the movie itself. The Oscars won’t even go that far, with Colman trailing Glenn Shut.

https://nypost.com/2019/02/21/oscars-2019-green-book-is-the-one-to-beat-for-best-picture/

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